Prof barry schutz will be available for a few minutes after each class and prof tom fingar will be available on evenings when he is present. In november 2008, the national intelligence council released global trends 2025 which argued that the international system as constructed following the. On november 18, 2008, chairman of the national intelligence council thomas fingar addressed a policy forum luncheon at the washington institute to discuss the u. Thomas fingar, the payne distinguished lecturer at stanford universitys freeman spogli institute for international studies, will discuss the report global trends 2025. The future of the middle east the washington institute. Council to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they may be headed, and how they might interact. A transformed world pdf link makes for a freshly bracing reading. Global trends 2025 a transformed world download ebook. Worlds top global mega trends to 2025 and implications to. Welcome to the atlantic council of the united states, and welcome to this very important installment of our global intelligence forum. I will now summarize some regional climate change trends. Mapping the global future, pp 3839 and global trends 2025.
It makes for sometimes grim reading in imagining a world of weak states bristling with weapons of mass destruction and unable to cope with burgeoning. These initial efforts attempted to describe the world of 2010. Report of the intelligencecouncils 2020 project and global trends 2025. Fingar served previously as assistant secretary at the state departments bureau of intelligence and research, principal deputy assistant. This site is like a library, use search box in the widget to get ebook that you want. A transformed world, national intelligence council november 2008. Download pdf globaltrends2025 free online new books.
Thomas fingar the us government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty. The inaugural lecture was given by professor thomas fingar, a former chairman of the national intelligence council of the united states, whose latest study on global trends 2025. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Download the pdf transcript by federal news service, washington, d. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15. Us intelligence 21112008 11h04 the nic has warned of a nuclear arms race in the middle east afpus doefile nullwashington afp the use of nuclear weapons will grow increasingly likely by 2025, according to a bleak us intelligence report that warns that us global dominance is likely to. The first two reports, published in 1997 and 2000, were pilot attempts to identify trends and drivers that might shape events over the next decade and a half the first looked out to 2010.
Evan montgomery, and jim thomas for their extremely useful critiques. An american perspective on united stateschina relations. And for those of you who read the global trends 2020, this is not an effort to update that. Both the product and the process used to pr oduce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events. Both the product and the process used to produce it. Im fred kempe, president and ceo of the atlantic council. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc. A transformed world is the fourth unclassified report prepared by the national intelligence council nic in recent years that takes a longterm view of the future. A transformed world national intelligence council us, office of the director of national intelligence u. A transformed world was prepared by the national intelligence council to stimulate strategic thinking about the future by identifying key trends, the factors that drive them, where they seem to be headed, and how they might int. Current trends suggest a dispersion of power and authority will create a global governance deficit.
Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and devel opments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Security implications of global climate change to 2030. Recommendations to presidentelect global trends 2025. Whether global institutions adapt and reviveanother key uncertaintyalso is a function of leadership. If current trends persist, by 2025 china will have the worlds second largest economy and will be a leading military power. Professors tom fingar, paul saffo and ian morris, stanford. Global trends 2025 a transformed world sonnenenergie. It also could be the largest importer of natural resources and the biggest polluter. Chinas vision of world order the national bureau of asian. A transformed world kindle edition by mathew burrows, c.
The intelligence communitys most direct efforts to inform grand strategy are the four reports in the national intelligence councils global trends series. A transformed world is one of the main global referral in these matters. Journal of contemporary china 2001 10 27 october 2001, pp. Reversing those trend lines would require strong leadership in the international community by a number of powers, including the emerging ones. I returned to stanford in january 2009 to share and teach what i had learned during twentythree years in washington that included four years as the first deputy director of national intelligence for analysis and chairman of the national intelligence council, and eleven years in various. Officially, hes the deputy director of national intelligence for analysis as well as the chairman of the national. I participated in that effort and launched a parallel study at the state department. Global trends 2025 is the fourth iteration of an exercise that began in the mid1990s under the leadership of john gannon, one of my predecessors as chairman of the national intelligence council.
Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Global trends 2025 by progressive management overdrive. Seattle office 1414 ne 42nd street, suite 300 seattle, wa 98105 tel. This global trends 2025 report will be delivered to the next u. In december, the presidentelect will get a report detailing threats to the u. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from. In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes. Global trends 2025 download ebook pdf, epub, tuebl, mobi. The intelligence establishment of the united states is a vast enterprise with more than a dozen agencies, roughly 100,000 employees sanders, 2008, and a budget larger than the gross domestic product of many nations. Download global trends 2025 or read global trends 2025 online books in pdf, epub and mobi format.
State of the climate summary information march 2012. Workingage populations are shrinking in wealthy countries, china, and russia but growing in developing, poorer countries, particularly in africa and south asia, increasing economic, employment. Press button download or read online below and wait 20 seconds. Each edition of global trends has tapped larger and more diverse communities of. Thomas fingar, deputy director, national intelligence agency 1. S intelligence preliminary syllabus stanford continuing studies instructors. The national intelligence council produced this report. A transformed worldthe most dramatic difference between mapping the global future.
Paradox of progress global trends and key implications through 2035 the rich are aging, the poor are not. Uncertainties, challenges and potentialities of the twenty. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers. Click download or read online button to get global trends 2025 book now. Implications for south korea and the usrok alliance, in byung kwan kim, giwook shin, and david straub, editors, beyond north korea. Thomas fingar in a keynote address setting the stage for the following panels on u. Thomas fingar is the payne distinguished lecturer in the freeman spogli institute for. Global trends affecting usprctaiwan relations, in gerrit w. The report, global trends 2025, covers a range of strategic issues, including greatpower rivalry, demographics, climate change, terrorism, nuclear proliferation, energy and natural resources. Report of the intelligence councils 2020 project and global trends 2025. Nic chairman thomas fingar presents global trends 2025. Here are two links to an a text version and a pdf one 48. The program that followed the forum can be found here, or downloaded in pdf format here. A transformed world is the lattersassumptions of a multipolar.
China has benefited from the liberal international order led by the. Future challenges to south koreas security stanford, ca. Chinas vision of world order the national bureau of. This report, called global trends 2025, is a forecast prepared by u. Thomas fingar chairman, national intelligence council. Thomas fingar the washington institute for near east policy washington, dc november 18, 2008.